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Posted by / 01-Jul-2017 08:09

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There should be another warmup as we head toward next weekend, but model variations are making it tough to have confidence about what to expect by Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

The American GFS model has highs in the 40s then, while the European model has us in the low 70s both days.

We'll see a mix of clouds and periods of sunshine today and tomorrow, before rain chances increase on Wednesday.

Check out all the red and orange to our north and west.

That's the start of a colder trend that should carry us into the New Year!

That's the start of a colder trend that should carry us into the New Year! Our high yesterday was 61 and at 1pm we are 8 degrees warmer than this time yesterday in the Triangle.

We should have warmer weather tomorrow with the potential for some seventies to show up. We're starting the week with a warming trend, but a rainy low pressure wave on Wednesday will hold temperatures down a good bit then, as much of the day may be spent with temperatures in the upper 40s. Read More We're starting the week with a warming trend, but a rainy low pressure wave on Wednesday will hold temperatures down a good bit then, as much of the day may be spent with temperatures in the upper 40s.It appears a low pressure system affecting us tomorrow will keep temperature a good deal cooler, and bring us a very good chance of rain.Some of us could start the day with pockets of thick fog or low clouds, otherwise we're likely to vary between partly cloudy and mostly sunny, with temperatures well above normal. Read More Some of us could start the day with pockets of thick fog or low clouds, otherwise we're likely to vary between partly cloudy and mostly sunny, with temperatures well above normal.When you examine the ensemble versions of those models (many different runs with slightly altered initial conditions), the spread of possible outcomes runs from highs in the upper 30s to highs in the mid 70s.It may take until mid or late week before we see a more consistent set of results that we can put more confidence in.

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Our high yesterday was 61 and at 1pm we are 8 degrees warmer than this time yesterday in the Triangle.

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